Fair Value Analysis

AI-powered weather-adjusted fair value predictions for IEX India

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Total Predictions
50
Avg Confidence
74%
Weather Influence
0% avg
Bullish / Bearish
43 / 1

Fair Value Methodology

How we calculate weather-adjusted fair value predictions

Weather Factors Considered

Temperature

High temperatures (>35°C) increase cooling demand, pushing prices up. Cold weather reduces AC load.

Solar Radiation

High solar radiation (>500 W/m²) increases renewable supply during 10:00-15:00, lowering prices.

Wind Speed & Cloud Cover

Wind affects wind generation capacity. Cloud cover reduces solar output, increasing thermal dependency.

Prediction Model

AI-Powered Analysis

Our model uses GPT-4o-mini to analyze weather conditions and historical IEX market patterns. It correlates temperature, solar radiation, and demand periods with historical clearing prices.

Algorithmic Fallback

When AI is unavailable, a rule-based algorithm uses temperature deviation, time-of-day adjustments, and solar/cloud correlations based on Indian power market patterns.

Data Sources

Real-time weather from Open-Meteo API. Market prices scraped from IEX India (Day-Ahead & Real-Time Markets). 5 major Indian grid zones monitored.

Important Disclaimer

Fair value predictions are estimates based on weather data and historical market patterns. They do not constitute financial advice. Actual market prices are influenced by numerous factors including transmission constraints, generator outages, demand variations, regulatory changes, and market manipulation that are not fully captured by weather-based models. Confidence scores indicate model certainty, not prediction accuracy. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct independent analysis before making trading decisions.

Latest Predictions

IEX RTM

India

Pune weather

BULLISH
Fair Value₹3400
Current MCP₹3340
Range₹3300 - ₹3500
Confidence75%
Weather Impact0%
16 Apr, 02:56 pm • gpt-4o-mini-v1

IEX RTM

India

Ahmedabad weather

BULLISH
Fair Value₹3600
Current MCP₹3340
Range₹3200 - ₹4000
Confidence75%
Weather Impact0%
16 Apr, 02:56 pm • gpt-4o-mini-v1

IEX RTM

India

Hyderabad weather

BULLISH
Fair Value₹3600
Current MCP₹3340
Range₹3500 - ₹3700
Confidence75%
Weather Impact0%
16 Apr, 02:56 pm • gpt-4o-mini-v1

IEX RTM

India

Bangalore weather

BULLISH
Fair Value₹3500
Current MCP₹3340
Range₹3200 - ₹3800
Confidence75%
Weather Impact0%
16 Apr, 02:56 pm • gpt-4o-mini-v1

IEX RTM

India

Kolkata weather

NEUTRAL
Fair Value₹3500
Current MCP₹3340
Range₹3200 - ₹3800
Confidence70%
Weather Impact0%
16 Apr, 02:56 pm • gpt-4o-mini-v1

IEX RTM

India

Chennai weather

BULLISH
Fair Value₹3600
Current MCP₹3340
Range₹3200 - ₹4000
Confidence75%
Weather Impact0%
16 Apr, 02:56 pm • gpt-4o-mini-v1

All Predictions

MarketCurrentFair ValueRangeConfidenceWeatherSignalTime
IEX RTM
Pune
₹3340₹3400₹3300 - ₹350075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX RTM
Ahmedabad
₹3340₹3600₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX RTM
Hyderabad
₹3340₹3600₹3500 - ₹370075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX RTM
Bangalore
₹3340₹3500₹3200 - ₹380075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX RTM
Kolkata
₹3340₹3500₹3200 - ₹380070%0%NEUTRAL16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX RTM
Chennai
₹3340₹3600₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX RTM
Mumbai
₹3340₹3500₹3000 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX RTM
Delhi
₹3340₹3450₹3200 - ₹370075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX DAM
Pune
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX DAM
Ahmedabad
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹400070%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX DAM
Hyderabad
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:56 pm
IEX DAM
Bangalore
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:55 pm
IEX DAM
Kolkata
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹370075%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:55 pm
IEX DAM
Chennai
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹400070%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:55 pm
IEX DAM
Mumbai
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹367875%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:55 pm
IEX DAM
Delhi
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹400070%0%BULLISH16 Apr, 02:55 pm
IEX RTM
Pune
₹3340₹4318₹3500 - ₹700075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:03 pm
IEX RTM
Ahmedabad
₹3340₹4318₹3736 - ₹949780%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:03 pm
IEX RTM
Hyderabad
₹3340₹4318₹3736 - ₹700080%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:03 pm
IEX RTM
Bangalore
₹3340₹4500₹4000 - ₹480075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX RTM
Kolkata
₹3340₹4500₹3700 - ₹530075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX RTM
Chennai
₹3340₹4750₹4000 - ₹550070%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX RTM
Mumbai
₹3340₹4500₹4000 - ₹500075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX RTM
Delhi
₹3340₹4000₹3700 - ₹430075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX DAM
Pune
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX DAM
Ahmedabad
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹380075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX DAM
Hyderabad
₹3200₹3200₹2800 - ₹360075%0%NEUTRAL09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX DAM
Bangalore
₹3200₹3580₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX DAM
Kolkata
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX DAM
Chennai
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹370075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX DAM
Mumbai
₹3200₹3200₹3000 - ₹350070%0%NEUTRAL09 Apr, 05:02 pm
IEX DAM
Delhi
₹3200₹3666₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH09 Apr, 05:01 pm
IEX RTM
Pune
₹3340₹3600₹3100 - ₹410075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:38 pm
IEX RTM
Ahmedabad
₹3340₹3240₹3000 - ₹350075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:38 pm
IEX RTM
Hyderabad
₹3340₹3600₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:38 pm
IEX RTM
Bangalore
₹3340₹3600₹3100 - ₹410075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Pune
₹3340₹3300₹3000 - ₹360075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Kolkata
₹3340₹3600₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Ahmedabad
₹3340₹3600₹3000 - ₹420075%0%NEUTRAL12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Chennai
₹3340₹3500₹3000 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Hyderabad
₹3340₹3400₹3000 - ₹400075%0%NEUTRAL12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Mumbai
₹3340₹3600₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Delhi
₹3340₹3600₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BEARISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX DAM
Pune
₹3200₹3500₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Bangalore
₹3340₹3650₹3100 - ₹400075%0%NEUTRAL12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX DAM
Ahmedabad
₹3200₹3425₹3200 - ₹371675%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Kolkata
₹3340₹3500₹3000 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX DAM
Hyderabad
₹3200₹3200₹2000 - ₹350070%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX RTM
Chennai
₹3340₹3600₹3200 - ₹400070%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm
IEX DAM
Bangalore
₹3200₹3600₹3200 - ₹400075%0%BULLISH12 Mar, 03:37 pm